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Cake day: August 3rd, 2023

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  • triclops6@lemmy.catoMemes@lemmy.mlWhich pill do you choose?
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    1 year ago

    Even if 2024, think how much smarter and further ahead of your peers you’d be:

    • you’re now at the head of the class
    • you job hunt, network, save like a pro
    • you’re the most mature person in the room
    • you get to live like a young person again (something I’d pay a lot to do)

    Downsides: never meet my partner and kids, gotta do the whole no-income thing again for a while



  • The intuition is exactly your argument:

    When the machine says yes it’s either because

    (1) the sun went nova (vanishingly small chance) and machine rolled truth (prob 35/36) – the joint probability of this (the product) is near zero

    OR

    (2) sun didn’t go nova (prob of basically one) and machine rolled lie (prob 1/36) – joint prob near 1/36

    Think of joint probability as the total likelihood. It is much more likely we are in scenario 2 because the total likelihood of that event (just under 1/36) is astronomically higher than the alternative (near zero)

    I’m skipping stuff but hopefully my words make clear what they math doesn’t always










  • I appreciate an earnest Devil’s advocacy, but Rogan was better years ago, he even had a mix of political voices.

    Now his guests skew significantly right. He’s still friends with Alex Jones, he’s told his audience on the record to vote Republican, as he himself has done, and he has endorsed Ron de Santis this election cycle (despite the many policies Rogan would disagree with). He is hard right now, but dishonest about it, and it lures people into the right wing grift.

    You’re getting down-voted because, either you know all this and are cherry picking outdated evidence, or you don’t but you should.